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Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers

Zambia Zambia

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Nkana and Nchanga Rangers finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nchanga Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Nkana
28%
Draws
22%
Nchanga Rangers
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Nkana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Nchanga Rangers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nkana's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Nkana Clean Sheet 20%
Nchanga Rangers Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nkana Nchanga Rangers
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Super League
Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Nkana
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Nkana
2:0
Oct 23, 2024 Super League
Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers
0:0
Feb 12, 2023 Super League
Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nkana 49 / 100
Nchanga Rangers 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nkana Nchanga Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NKA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Nkana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Nkana scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Nchanga Rangers let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nkana VS Nchanga Rangers
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nkana

(Home)
23 May
Kansanshi
0 : 0
Nkana
17 May
Nkana
1 : 2
Muza Fc
13 May
Zesco
0 : 1
Nkana
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
30 Apr
NAPSA Stars
1 : 1
Nkana
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Nchanga Rangers

(Away)
23 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 2
Konkola Blades
16 May
Zanaco
1 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
08 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 1
Kabwe
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
29 Apr
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 0
Nkwazi
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