Sport Picks
Nkwazi vs Roan United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Zambia
Super League 
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Nkwazi and Roan United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Roan United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nkwazi come out ahead of Roan United on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Roan United have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Nkwazi Clean Sheet 20%
Roan United Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nkwazi | Roan United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.61 | 0.52 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Super League
Nkwazi vs Roan United
1:2
Sep 7, 2013 Super League
Roan United vs Nkwazi
3:1
Apr 20, 2013 Super League
Nkwazi vs Roan United
0:2
Oct 9, 2011 Super League
Roan United vs Nkwazi
2:1
Jun 11, 2011 Super League
Nkwazi vs Roan United
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nkwazi 31 / 100
Roan United 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nkwazi Roan United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nkwazi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Roan United let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Nkwazi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Nkwazi scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Nkwazi VS Roan United
0.63 Goals Scored 0.4
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.6
25% Over 1.5 40%
13% Over 2.5 20%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Nkwazi
(Home) 03 Oct
Nkwazi
1 : 2 Roan United
24 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0 Nkwazi
20 May
Muza Fc
0 : 1 Nkwazi
17 May
Nkwazi
1 : 0 Kansanshi
03 May
Nkwazi
1 : 1 Zesco
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03 Oct
Nkwazi
1 : 2 Roan United
17 May
Nkwazi
1 : 0 Kansanshi
03 May
Nkwazi
1 : 1 Zesco
22 Apr
Nkwazi
0 : 1 Power Dynamos
15 Apr
Nkwazi
2 : 1 NAPSA Stars
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Roan United
(Away) 03 Oct
Nkwazi
1 : 2 Roan United
04 Apr
Roan United
0 : 2 Nchanga Rangers
05 Apr
Roan United
1 : 2 Nkana
22 Nov
Konkola Blades
0 : 2 Roan United
15 Nov
Roan United
1 : 1 Konkola Mine Police
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03 Oct
Nkwazi
1 : 2 Roan United
22 Nov
Konkola Blades
0 : 2 Roan United
26 Oct
Green Eagles
2 : 0 Roan United
04 Oct
National Assembly
1 : 0 Roan United
20 Sept
Red Arrows
3 : 2 Roan United
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nkana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Muza Fc | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Konkola Blades | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Zanaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | NAPSA Stars | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 6 | Trident | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 7 | Kansanshi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 8 | Makeni All Stars | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 9 | Power Dynamos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 10 | Nchanga Rangers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Green Eagles | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Red Arrows | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 3 | Green Buffaloes FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 4 |
| 4 | Kabwe | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 5 | Roan United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 6 | Zesco | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 7 | Nkwazi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 8 | Chirundu United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | 1 |
| 9 | Mufulira Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 10 | Mutondo Stars | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 0 |
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)
