Sport Picks
Noah Jurmala vs BFC Daugavpils
Latvia
Optibet Virsliga 2021 Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Optibet Virsliga 2021 game between Noah Jurmala and BFC Daugavpils finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BFC Daugavpils.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and BFC Daugavpils come out ahead of Noah Jurmala on wins alone.
- Model gives BFC Daugavpils a 80% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- BFC Daugavpils have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Noah Jurmala | BFC Daugavpils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 37 |
| Wins | 1 | 14 |
| Draws | 1 | 10 |
| Losses | 26 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.29 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.29 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Noah Jurmala Compare
BFC Daugavpils Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: BFC Daugavpils conceded in 73% of 37 recent games.
BFC Daugavpils's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Noah Jurmala scored in 18% of their last 28 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Noah Jurmala
(Home)BFC Daugavpils
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 65:22 | 66 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 54:19 | 62 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 28 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 47:26 | 51 |
| 4 | Riga FC | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 54:26 | 50 |
| 5 | Spartaks Jurmala | 28 | 11 | 2 | 15 | 40:41 | 35 |
| 6 | BFC Daugavpils | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 37:53 | 32 |
| 7 | FK Metta | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 33:55 | 20 |
| 8 | Noah Jurmala | 28 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 8:96 | 3 |
| 9 | Ventspils | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
