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Noah Jurmala vs RFS

Latvia Latvia

Optibet Virsliga 2021 Daugavas stadions, Riga
Sun, Sep 26, 2021
0 - 3
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Noah Jurmala host RFS in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Noah Jurmala have averaged 0.29 scored and 3.29 conceded recently, against RFS's 2.45 scored and 0.79 conceded. Head-to-head, Noah Jurmala have won 0 to RFS's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2021, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 0.85 vs 1.61, favoring RFS. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Noah Jurmala
20%
Draws
80%
RFS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RFS come out ahead of Noah Jurmala on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on RFS taking it.
  • Regular Optibet Virsliga 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • RFS have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Noah Jurmala Clean Sheet 14%
RFS Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noah Jurmala RFS
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 1 24
Draws 1 5
Losses 26 4
Goals Scored 0.29 2.45
Goals Conceded 3.29 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2021 Virsliga
Noah Jurmala vs RFS
0:3
Sep 15, 2021 Virsliga
Noah Jurmala vs RFS
0:3
Jun 21, 2021 Virsliga
RFS vs Noah Jurmala
5:0
Apr 29, 2021 Virsliga
RFS vs Noah Jurmala
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noah Jurmala 10 / 100
RFS 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noah Jurmala RFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Noah Jurmala found the back of the net in 18% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: RFS conceded in 52% of 33 recent games.

Away concern: RFS has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS RFS
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Noah Jurmala

(Home)
06 Nov
FK Metta
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
31 Oct
Noah Jurmala
0 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
27 Oct
FK Liepaja
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
23 Oct
FK Liepaja
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
17 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
Page 1 of 6

RFS

(Away)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 28 20 6 2 65:22 66
2 Valmiera 28 19 5 4 54:19 62
3 FK Liepaja 28 16 3 9 47:26 51
4 Riga FC 28 14 8 6 54:26 50
5 Spartaks Jurmala 28 11 2 15 40:41 35
6 BFC Daugavpils 28 9 5 14 37:53 32
7 FK Metta 28 5 5 18 33:55 20
8 Noah Jurmala 28 1 0 27 8:96 3
9 Ventspils 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2022 (Main)