Sport Picks

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Noah Jurmala vs Valmiera

Latvia Latvia

Optibet Virsliga 2021 Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils
Sat, Oct 2, 2021
0 - 3
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Noah Jurmala host Valmiera in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Noah Jurmala at 0.29 goals for, 3.29 against; Valmiera at 2.81 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Noah Jurmala have won 0 to Valmiera's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 2, 2021, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 1.61) point toward Valmiera. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Noah Jurmala
15%
Draws
85%
Valmiera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Valmiera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Valmiera are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Optibet Virsliga 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Valmiera have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Noah Jurmala Clean Sheet 14%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noah Jurmala Valmiera
Matches Played 28 37
Wins 1 27
Draws 1 3
Losses 26 7
Goals Scored 0.29 2.81
Goals Conceded 3.29 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2021 Virsliga
Noah Jurmala vs Valmiera
0:3
Aug 11, 2021 Virsliga
Noah Jurmala vs Valmiera
0:3
Jul 18, 2021 Virsliga
Valmiera vs Noah Jurmala
3:0
May 9, 2021 Virsliga
Valmiera vs Noah Jurmala
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noah Jurmala 10 / 100
Valmiera 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noah Jurmala Valmiera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valmiera let in goals in 65% of their last 37 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Noah Jurmala scored in 18% of their last 28 games.

Valmiera's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valmiera
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Noah Jurmala

(Home)
06 Nov
FK Metta
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
31 Oct
Noah Jurmala
0 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
27 Oct
FK Liepaja
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
23 Oct
FK Liepaja
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
17 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
Page 1 of 6

Valmiera

(Away)
19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4
Riga Mariners
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 28 20 6 2 65:22 66
2 Valmiera 28 19 5 4 54:19 62
3 FK Liepaja 28 16 3 9 47:26 51
4 Riga FC 28 14 8 6 54:26 50
5 Spartaks Jurmala 28 11 2 15 40:41 35
6 BFC Daugavpils 28 9 5 14 37:53 32
7 FK Metta 28 5 5 18 33:55 20
8 Noah Jurmala 28 1 0 27 8:96 3
9 Ventspils 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2022 (Main)