Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Noah vs Ararat Yerevan

Armenia Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Abovyan City Stadium, Abovyan
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Oshima T.
14' Event
Matheus Aias
23' Event
Saintini N.
Assist: Jakolis M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Noah and Ararat Yerevan finished 8-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Noah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Noah
15%
Draws
24%
Ararat Yerevan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Noah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Noah come out ahead of Ararat Yerevan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Noah a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Noah here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Noah Clean Sheet 68%
Ararat Yerevan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noah Ararat Yerevan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 2 16
Goals Scored 2.23 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Premier League
Noah vs Ararat Yerevan
4:0
May 19, 2026 Premier League
Noah vs Ararat Yerevan
8:3
Oct 27, 2025 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs Noah
0:3
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
Noah vs Ararat Yerevan
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Premier League
Noah vs Ararat Yerevan
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Noah Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Aias
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jakolis M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Ararat Yerevan Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbia K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ouattara A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noah 95 / 100
Ararat Yerevan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noah Ararat Yerevan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Noah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Noah scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Ararat Yerevan conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Noah has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Noah VS Ararat Yerevan
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Noah

(Home)
18 Sept
Noah
2 : 0
Van
12 Sept
Urartu
0 : 3
Noah
04 Sept
Noah
3 : 2
FC Gandzasar
30 Aug
Noah
4 : 0
Ararat Yerevan
23 Aug
BKMA
0 : 1
Noah
Page 1 of 6

Ararat Yerevan

(Away)
20 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
1 : 0
Syunik
12 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
05 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 1
Ararat-Armenia
30 Aug
Noah
4 : 0
Ararat Yerevan
21 Aug
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 2
Pyunik Yerevan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ararat-Armenia 27 18 6 3 50:25 60
2 Noah 27 16 8 3 61:19 56
3 Pyunik Yerevan 27 17 4 6 37:18 55
4 Alashkert 27 16 5 6 42:23 53
5 Urartu 27 14 7 6 43:26 49
6 Van 27 9 4 14 27:40 31
7 BKMA 27 4 11 12 30:42 23
8 FC Gandzasar 27 5 6 16 20:41 21
9 Ararat Yerevan 27 3 4 20 21:63 13
10 Shirak Gyumri 27 2 7 18 17:51 13
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)