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Noblejas vs Illescas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
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Match Events

74' Event
Sanchez I.
75'
Boveda A.
75'
Boveda A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 game between Noblejas and Illescas finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Illescas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Noblejas
30%
Draws
43%
Illescas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Illescas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Illescas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Illescas a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Noblejas Clean Sheet 20%
Illescas Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noblejas Illescas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 7 13
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.93 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 0.89
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Noblejas vs Illescas
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Noblejas Compare

Top Goalscorer Aragon A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Illescas Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pozas I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.81
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noblejas 28 / 100
Illescas 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noblejas Illescas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Illescas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Noblejas scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Illescas let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Noblejas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Noblejas VS Illescas
1.29 Goals Scored 0.63
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.63
86% Over 1.5 38%
43% Over 2.5 13%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Noblejas

(Home)
03 Oct
Noblejas
1 : 2
Illescas
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0
Noblejas
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
13 Sept
San Clemente
1 : 1
Noblejas
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
Page 1 of 6

Illescas

(Away)
03 Oct
Noblejas
1 : 2
Illescas
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0
Villarrubia
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2
Illescas
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0
Socuellamos
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 5 5 0 0 8:2 15
2 Villarrobledo 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
3 Illescas 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Torrijos 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Toledo 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
6 CD Villa 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
7 Marchamalo 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
8 CD Tarancon 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 UD Almansa 5 2 1 2 8:5 7
10 Villacanas 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
11 Noblejas 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 San Clemente 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
13 Socuellamos 5 0 4 1 3:5 4
14 La Solana 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
15 Villarrubia 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
16 CD Guadalajara B 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
17 Quintanar del Rey 5 0 2 3 5:11 2
18 Huracan de Balazote 5 0 0 5 4:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)