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Nocerina vs Gelbison Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Cardella F.
12' Event
Renelus B.
15' Event
Sbrissa G.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Nocerina and Gelbison finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nocerina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Nocerina
20%
Draws
33%
Gelbison
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nocerina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Gelbison carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Nocerina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 68%
Gelbison Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nocerina Gelbison
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 16
Draws 12 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.04 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Nocerina vs Gelbison
3:0
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Nocerina vs Gelbison
4:2
Feb 16, 2020 Serie D - Group H
Gelbison vs Nocerina
1:0
Oct 13, 2019 Serie D - Group H
Nocerina vs Gelbison
1:0
Apr 22, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Nocerina vs Gelbison
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nocerina Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardella F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Renelus B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Gelbison Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nocerina 59 / 100
Gelbison 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nocerina Gelbison

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nocerina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nocerina scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Gelbison has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Nocerina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nocerina VS Gelbison
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nocerina

(Home)
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Nocerina
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2
Nocerina
06 Sept
Nocerina
2 : 1
Ebolitana
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Gelbison

(Away)
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3
Gelbison
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1
Gelbison
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1
Gelbison
06 Sept
Gelbison
0 : 0
Afragolese
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