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Nocerina vs Turris - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Nocerina Logo

Nocerina

Wed, Oct 7, 2026
1 - 2
06:30 PM
Turris Logo

Turris

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Santaniello E.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Ragosta M.
1' Event
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nocerina
20%
Draws
44%
Turris
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Turris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nocerina come out ahead of Turris on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Nocerina have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Turris, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 20%
Turris Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nocerina Turris
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 8 4
Draws 12 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Nocerina vs Turris
1:2
Aug 20, 2023 Club Friendly
Turris vs Nocerina
3:2
Aug 7, 2022 Club Friendly
Nocerina vs Turris
1:1
Apr 28, 2019 Serie D - Group I
Turris vs Nocerina
4:0
Dec 16, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Nocerina vs Turris
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nocerina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Turris Compare

Top Goalscorer Ragosta M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nocerina 32 / 100
Turris 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nocerina Turris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Turris conceded in 80% of 20 recent games.

Nocerina's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Nocerina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nocerina VS Turris
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nocerina

(Home)
07 Oct
Nocerina
1 : 2
Turris
04 Oct
Melfi
0 : 1
Nocerina
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Nocerina
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
Page 1 of 6

Turris

(Away)
07 Oct
Nocerina
1 : 2
Turris
04 Oct
San Felice Gladiator
1 : 1
Turris
27 Sept
Turris
2 : 0
Fidelis Andria
20 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 2
Turris
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
Final
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