Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nogueirense vs GD Peniche - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GD Peniche in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored GD Peniche.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Nogueirense
30%
Draws
23%
GD Peniche
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nogueirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GD Peniche lately — more wins on the board than Nogueirense.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Nogueirense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nogueirense Clean Sheet 16%
GD Peniche Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nogueirense GD Peniche
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.14 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Nogueirense vs GD Peniche
0:1
Sep 23, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Peniche vs Nogueirense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nogueirense 66 / 100
GD Peniche 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nogueirense GD Peniche

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nogueirense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nogueirense found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: GD Peniche conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Nogueirense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: GD Peniche registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nogueirense VS GD Peniche
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.88
83% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nogueirense

(Home)
13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3
Nogueirense
06 Sept
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
30 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 3
Naval 1893
23 Aug
Fazendense
3 : 3
Nogueirense
16 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Sertanense
Page 1 of 6

GD Peniche

(Away)
18 Apr
GD Peniche
5 : 1
SC Lusitania
12 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
3 : 1
GD Peniche
04 Apr
GD Peniche
0 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
29 Mar
Samora Correia
5 : 2
GD Peniche
22 Mar
Electrico FC
4 : 2
GD Peniche
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leiria 34 24 3 7 59:24 75
2 Vilafranquense 34 21 9 4 56:22 72
3 Anadia 34 20 11 3 52:23 71
4 SB Castelo Branco 34 17 11 6 45:23 62
5 Sintrense 34 15 9 10 49:41 54
6 Oliveira Hospital 34 13 13 8 42:27 52
7 Alverca 34 14 9 11 39:33 51
8 Caldas SC 34 12 10 12 37:38 46
9 Oleiros 34 11 12 11 38:44 45
10 Torreense 34 11 11 12 36:36 44
11 Fatima 34 12 7 15 38:46 43
12 GS Loures 34 11 8 15 33:31 41
13 Sertanense 34 8 17 9 32:36 41
14 Nogueirense 34 11 8 15 32:39 41
15 Santa Iria 34 9 8 17 35:55 35
16 Alcains 34 5 8 21 21:48 23
17 GD Peniche 34 5 8 21 22:51 23
18 Macao 34 3 6 25 20:69 15
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)