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Noia vs CD Boiro Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Blanco Bermudez J. M.
70' Event
Yago

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Noia and CD Boiro finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Boiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Noia
20%
Draws
52%
CD Boiro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Boiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Boiro come out ahead of Noia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CD Boiro's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Noia Clean Sheet 10%
CD Boiro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noia CD Boiro
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 6 11
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 0.77 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Noia vs CD Boiro
0:2
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Noia
4:0
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Noia
0:0
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Noia vs CD Boiro
0:0
Mar 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Noia vs CD Boiro
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Noia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

CD Boiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco Bermudez J. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yago
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noia 10 / 100
CD Boiro 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noia CD Boiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Boiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Noia's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CD Boiro has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Noia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Noia VS CD Boiro
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Noia

(Home)
10 May
Noia
1 : 5
Gran Pena
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
25 Apr
Noia
3 : 0
Celtiga
19 Apr
Cambados
0 : 3
Noia
12 Apr
Noia
0 : 2
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 6

CD Boiro

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Boiro
1 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
19 Sept
Silva SD
0 : 2
CD Boiro
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
CD Boiro
3 : 2
Montaneros
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)