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Nojima Stella W vs Saitama W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women
Wed, Sep 23, 2026
1 - 2
05:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Tochitani M.
38' Event
Tsukiji I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nojima Stella W
15%
Draws
49%
Saitama W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saitama W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nojima Stella W lately — more wins on the board than Saitama W.
  • Nojima Stella W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Nojima Stella W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Saitama W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Nojima Stella W Clean Sheet 17%
Saitama W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nojima Stella W Saitama W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 2 1
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.45 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Nojima Stella W vs Saitama W
1:2
Aug 22, 2026 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Saitama W
1:0
May 2, 2026 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Saitama W
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 WE League Women
Saitama W vs Nojima Stella W
1:3
Apr 12, 2025 WE League Women
Saitama W vs Nojima Stella W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nojima Stella W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsukiji I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Saitama W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tochitani M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nojima Stella W 41 / 100
Saitama W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nojima Stella W Saitama W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nojima Stella W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Saitama W has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Nojima Stella W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nojima Stella W VS Saitama W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nojima Stella W

(Home)
04 Oct
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
27 Sept
AC Parceiro Nagano W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
23 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
19 Sept
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
1 : 2
Nojima Stella W
12 Sept
Nojima Stella W
2 : 0
Mynavi Sendai W
Page 1 of 6

Saitama W

(Away)
04 Oct
Saitama W
2 : 1
JEF United W
27 Sept
Mynavi Sendai W
1 : 2
Saitama W
23 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
19 Sept
Saitama W
0 : 1
Beleza W
13 Sept
C-Osaka W
2 : 3
Saitama W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JEF United W 5 4 0 1 10:7 11
2 Nojima Stella W 5 3 0 2 8:5 11
3 Saitama W 5 4 0 1 9:6 10
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
5 Omiya Ardija W 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
6 Beleza W 5 3 0 2 11:10 9
7 C-Osaka W 5 3 0 2 9:8 9
8 Mynavi Sendai W 5 2 0 3 4:6 8
9 Urawa W 5 2 0 3 10:9 7
10 Albirex Niigata W 5 2 0 3 7:8 5
11 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 5 1 0 4 6:11 2
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 5 0 0 5 0:10 0
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)