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Nojima Stella W vs Urawa W Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan Japan

WE League Women 2025/2026 Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Shimada M.
17' Event
Shimada M.
Assist: Sakakibara K.

AI Match Summary

The WE League Women 2025/2026 game between Nojima Stella W and Urawa W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Urawa W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nojima Stella W
15%
Draws
34%
Urawa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nojima Stella W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Urawa W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Nojima Stella W taking it.
  • Regular WE League Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Urawa W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Nojima Stella W Clean Sheet 68%
Urawa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nojima Stella W Urawa W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 18
Draws 2 0
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.46 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 WE League Women
Urawa W vs Nojima Stella W
5:1
Mar 29, 2026 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Urawa W
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Nojima Stella W vs Urawa W
2:4
Nov 30, 2025 WE League Cup Women
Urawa W vs Nojima Stella W
3:2
Oct 11, 2025 WE League Women
Urawa W vs Nojima Stella W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nojima Stella W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Urawa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shimada M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nojima Stella W 59 / 100
Urawa W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nojima Stella W Urawa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nojima Stella W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nojima Stella W scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Urawa W conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Nojima Stella W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nojima Stella W VS Urawa W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nojima Stella W

(Home)
27 Sept
AC Parceiro Nagano W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
23 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
19 Sept
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
1 : 2
Nojima Stella W
12 Sept
Nojima Stella W
2 : 0
Mynavi Sendai W
06 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 4
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
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Urawa W

(Away)
03 Oct
Urawa W
4 : 2
Beleza W
27 Sept
Albirex Niigata W
2 : 1
Urawa W
23 Sept
Urawa W
2 : 0
AC Parceiro Nagano W
20 Sept
Urawa W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
12 Sept
JEF United W
3 : 2
Urawa W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 22 17 2 3 50:13 53
2 Urawa W 22 14 2 6 46:15 44
3 Beleza W 22 13 2 7 44:23 41
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 22 10 8 4 30:20 38
5 Mynavi Sendai W 22 9 7 6 22:19 34
6 Albirex Niigata W 22 9 4 9 23:27 31
7 Omiya Ardija W 22 6 9 7 24:28 27
8 Nojima Stella W 22 8 3 11 28:34 27
9 JEF United W 22 6 6 10 16:34 24
10 C-Osaka W 22 5 6 11 20:34 21
11 Saitama W 22 5 3 14 20:37 18
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 22 2 4 16 16:55 10
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