Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nomme Utd U21 vs Kuressaare U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Männiku Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Soosalu R.
42' Event
Visse A.
62'
Sub
Viiroja U. In: Saarnak J.
Out: Viiroja U.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2025 game between Nomme Utd U21 and Kuressaare U21 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kuressaare U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nomme Utd U21
15%
Draws
0%
Kuressaare U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nomme Utd U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nomme Utd U21 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Nomme Utd U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Kuressaare U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd U21 Kuressaare U21
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 7 1
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 1.81 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.95 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
1:4
Aug 10, 2025 Esiliiga B
Nomme Utd U21 vs Kuressaare U21
0:3
Jun 30, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
1:4
May 3, 2025 Esiliiga B
Nomme Utd U21 vs Kuressaare U21
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Kuressaare U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Visse A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leedo K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd U21 83 / 100
Kuressaare U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd U21 Kuressaare U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nomme Utd U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nomme Utd U21 scored in 89% of their last 37 outings.

Kuressaare U21 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Kuressaare U21 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd U21 VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nomme Utd U21

(Home)
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
03 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Elva
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Kuressaare U21

(Away)
09 Nov
Kuressaare U21
1 : 2
Maardu Linnameeskond
02 Nov
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 0
Kuressaare U21
27 Oct
Kuressaare U21
1 : 4
Nomme Utd U21
23 Oct
Kuressaare U21
0 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
19 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
4 : 2
Kuressaare U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 28 5 3 116:39 89
2 Nomme Utd U21 36 23 3 10 93:53 72
3 Johvi Phoenix 36 21 5 10 95:61 68
4 Narva U21 36 21 3 12 87:53 66
5 Tartu Kalev 36 19 4 13 81:53 61
6 Tabasalu 36 13 8 15 60:67 47
7 Legion 36 13 5 18 66:94 44
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 8 17 65:71 41
9 Kuressaare U21 36 6 1 29 40:105 19
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 3 2 31 33:140 11
Promotion - Esiliiga (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2025 (Relegation)