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Nomme Utd U21 vs Levadia U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Männiku Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Pavlovits V.
Assist: Sambe M.
48' Event
Salmistu S.
Assist: Kais J.
86' Event
Svedovski A.
Assist: Domov P.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Nomme Utd U21 and Levadia U21 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Nomme Utd U21
15%
Draws
50%
Levadia U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Levadia U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Levadia U21 taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd U21 Levadia U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 2
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.53 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Levadia U21
0:1
Aug 8, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Levadia U21
1:2
May 25, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
4:2
Mar 16, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
0:1
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Salmistu S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Levadia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlovits V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Svedovski A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd U21 11 / 100
Levadia U21 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd U21 Levadia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd U21 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Levadia U21 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Nomme Utd U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd U21 VS Levadia U21
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nomme Utd U21

(Home)
09 Oct
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Levadia U21
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
Page 1 of 6

Levadia U21

(Away)
09 Oct
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Levadia U21
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5
Levadia U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 32 21 5 6 85:39 68
2 Viimsi JK 31 16 5 10 56:31 53
3 Flora Tallinn U21 31 15 6 10 72:53 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 31 15 2 14 61:55 47
6 Tallinna Kalev 30 11 7 12 52:55 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 30 8 8 14 39:63 32
9 Kalju U21 31 7 4 20 38:79 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)