Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nomme Utd vs Jelgava

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
45' Event
46' Event

AI Match Summary

Jelgava in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jelgava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Nomme Utd
15%
Draws
46%
Jelgava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jelgava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nomme Utd lately — more wins on the board than Jelgava.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 16%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd Jelgava
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 1 7
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Nomme Utd vs Jelgava
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd 31 / 100
Jelgava 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd Jelgava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jelgava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Jelgava let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Nomme Utd stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd VS Jelgava
2.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nomme Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
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Jelgava

(Away)
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
22 Aug
Ogre United
2 : 3
Jelgava
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