Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nomme Utd vs Kalju - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Männiku Stadium, Tallinn
Nomme Utd Logo

Nomme Utd

1 - 3
FT
Kalju Logo

Kalju

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Baptista T.
Assist: Musolitin O.
21' Event
Chanda R.
Assist: Morishige Y.
26' Event
Musolitin O.
Assist: Orlov M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kalju in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kalju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Nomme Utd
15%
Draws
42%
Kalju
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Kalju have won more games recently than Nomme Utd.
  • Win probability leans Kalju's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kalju have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 14%
Kalju Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd Kalju
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 0 5
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.93 2.14
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Nomme Utd
1:2
Jul 3, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Kalju
1:3
Apr 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Nomme Utd
7:1
Sep 18, 2024 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Nomme Utd
3:0
Jul 19, 2024 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Kalju
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nomme Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Chanda R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Kalju Compare

Top Goalscorer Baptista T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Musolitin O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd 27 / 100
Kalju 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd Kalju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kalju Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Kalju has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Kalju's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd VS Kalju
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nomme Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
Page 1 of 6

Kalju

(Away)
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)