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Nomme Utd vs Keila JK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2019
Nomme Utd Logo

Nomme Utd

6 - 1
FT
Keila JK Logo

Keila JK

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2019 game between Nomme Utd and Keila JK finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nomme Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Nomme Utd
15%
Draws
51%
Keila JK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keila JK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Nomme Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nomme Utd are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nomme Utd have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Keila JK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd Keila JK
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 0 5
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.93 2.6
Goals Conceded 2.21 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2019 Esiliiga B
Nomme Utd vs Keila JK
6:1
Aug 16, 2019 Esiliiga B
Keila JK vs Nomme Utd
0:6
May 30, 2019 Esiliiga B
Nomme Utd vs Keila JK
3:2
Mar 10, 2019 Esiliiga B
Keila JK vs Nomme Utd
3:1
Jan 26, 2019 Club Friendly
Keila JK vs Nomme Utd
5:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd 47 / 100
Keila JK 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd Keila JK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nomme Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nomme Utd scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Keila JK has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 6.60 goals per match.

Nomme Utd went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd VS Keila JK
2.63 Goals Scored 3
1.75 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Nomme Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
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Keila JK

(Away)
07 Oct
Levadia
10 : 0
Keila JK
19 Aug
Keila JK
3 : 2
Flora U19
22 Jul
TalTech JK
0 : 6
Keila JK
19 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
9 : 0
Keila JK
06 Aug
Jarva-Jaani
1 : 4
Keila JK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nomme Utd 36 27 4 5 118:38 85
2 Vandra Vaprus 36 21 5 10 97:71 68
3 Parnu 36 19 5 12 82:53 62
4 Kalju U21 36 19 4 13 79:50 61
5 Viimsi JK 36 16 4 16 75:68 52
6 Keila JK 36 14 4 18 67:87 46
7 Tabasalu 36 13 4 19 77:79 43
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 6 19 61:87 39
9 Voru Helios 36 10 4 22 48:101 34
10 Pohja-Tallinna 36 9 2 25 53:123 29
Promotion - Esiliiga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2019 (Relegation)