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Nomme Utd vs Levadia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Männiku Stadium, Tallinn
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nomme Utd host Levadia in the Meistriliiga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Nomme Utd at 1.86 goals for, 1.97 against; Levadia at 3.03 for, 0.71 against. Head-to-head, Nomme Utd have won 1 to Levadia's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 5:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 2.88) point toward Levadia. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Nomme Utd
15%
Draws
53%
Levadia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Levadia come out ahead of Nomme Utd on wins alone.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Levadia taking it.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd Levadia
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 26
Draws 0 3
Losses 16 2
Goals Scored 1.86 3.03
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Nomme Utd
5:0
Jun 17, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Levadia
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Nomme Utd
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia vs Nomme Utd
2:4
Oct 22, 2024 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Nomme Utd
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd 18 / 100
Levadia 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd Levadia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Nomme Utd's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Nomme Utd has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Levadia let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd VS Levadia
1.63 Goals Scored 3.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nomme Utd

(Home)
27 Oct
Narva
0 : 1
Nomme Utd
23 Oct
Nomme Utd
4 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
17 Oct
Nomme Utd
3 : 0
Kalju
13 Oct
Harju JK Laagri
2 : 0
Nomme Utd
10 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 0
Nomme Utd
Page 1 of 6

Levadia

(Away)
27 Oct
Levadia
2 : 1
Tammeka Tartu
24 Oct
Levadia
2 : 1
Harju JK Laagri
18 Oct
Kuressaare
0 : 2
Levadia
15 Oct
Flora
1 : 3
Levadia
11 Oct
Levadia
1 : 0
Paide Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 34 27 6 1 91:24 87
2 Paide Linnameeskond 33 18 6 9 53:39 60
3 Flora 34 19 1 14 64:49 58
4 Kalju 33 16 6 11 56:34 54
5 Tammeka Tartu 34 16 2 16 48:54 50
6 Harju JK Laagri 34 15 2 17 49:50 47
7 Nomme Utd 34 12 1 21 55:76 37
8 Parnu JK Vaprus 33 10 6 17 45:67 36
9 Kuressaare 33 10 5 18 34:52 35
10 Narva 34 5 5 24 26:76 20
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)