Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nomme Utd vs Paide Linnameeskond

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Männiku Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Daniel Cabral
(Penalty)
14' Event
Luts D.
Assist: Miller M.
29'
Miller M.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Nomme Utd and Paide Linnameeskond finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paide Linnameeskond.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nomme Utd
40%
Draws
29%
Paide Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Nomme Utd haven't matched Paide Linnameeskond's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Paide Linnameeskond here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 16%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd Paide Linnameeskond
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 2 7
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Paide Linnameeskond
2:3
Apr 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme Utd
3:1
Nov 3, 2024 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Paide Linnameeskond
0:4
Sep 14, 2024 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme Utd
7:2
May 12, 2024 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Paide Linnameeskond
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nomme Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Chisala B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Luts D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anier H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd 31 / 100
Paide Linnameeskond 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd Paide Linnameeskond

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Paide Linnameeskond has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Nomme Utd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd VS Paide Linnameeskond
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora18120638:1936
3Kalju19104533:1634
4Paide Linnameeskond1995530:2332
5Parnu JK Vaprus1982927:3526
6Tammeka Tartu1882821:2626
7Nomme Utd19711137:4522
8Harju JK Laagri19711125:3222
9Kuressaare19521219:3317
10Narva19311512:4610