Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nomme Utd vs Raplamaa

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup Männiku Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 12-0. The second leg ended 12-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nomme Utd
15%
Draws
0%
Raplamaa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nomme Utd come out ahead of Raplamaa on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Nomme Utd taking it.
  • Nomme Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nomme Utd, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Raplamaa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd Raplamaa
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 2
Draws 2 0
Losses 15 28
Goals Scored 2.29 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.18 3.87
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Estonian Cup
Nomme Utd vs Raplamaa
12:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd 83 / 100
Raplamaa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd Raplamaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nomme Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Raplamaa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 12.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Raplamaa registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd VS Raplamaa
1.38 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 12
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Nomme Utd

(Home)
14 Aug
Nomme Utd
0 : 1
Tammeka Tartu
09 Aug
Levadia
5 : 0
Nomme Utd
31 Jul
Nomme Utd
1 : 2
Narva
23 Jul
Nomme Utd
12 : 0
Raplamaa
17 Jul
Flora
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
Page 1 of 6

Raplamaa

(Away)
23 Jul
Nomme Utd
12 : 0
Raplamaa
18 Jun
Raplamaa
1 : 5
Saku Sporting
12 Jun
Legion
3 : 1
Raplamaa
29 Jul
Raplamaa
1 : 5
Laanemaa Haapsalu
13 Nov
Raplamaa
0 : 3
Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Narva 10
Vana Hea Puur 0
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
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Generation Tallinn -
TalTech JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Keila JK -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
EstHam United -
TBD -
Kose 8
Kummik 0
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Rae Spordikool -
Tallinna Wolves 0
Tabasalu 10
TBD -
Tamper -
Levadia -
TBD -
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Paide Linnameeskond -
Johvi Phoenix 4
Elva III 2
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Lahte United 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 3
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
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Raplamaa -
Tartu Helios -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Nomme Utd U19 -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Arsenal 0
Tallinna Kalev U21 3
Rakvere FC Freedom 3
Kena JK 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani 0
Elva 4
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
TransferWise -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Legion -
Kohvile -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Zealot Sporting -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
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Tartu JK Welco 2 -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
Helm 30
Deliirium 0
TBD -
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TBD -
Kalju -
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
Saue JK Laagri 6
Viimsi Lovid 0
TBD -
Harju JK Laagri U21 -
Tammeka Tartu U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tartu Kalev 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 3
TBD -
Kuusalu Kalev -
1/32-finals
Narva 1
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Marjamaa Kompanii 8
Generation Tallinn 4
TalTech JK 0
Keila JK 6
Flora U19 6
Pohja-Tallinna 3
EstHam United 1
Kose 5
Rumori Calcio II 0
Tartu JK Welco 12
Harju JK Laagri 8
Rae Spordikool 0
Tabasalu 0
Tamper 2
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Johvi Phoenix 8
FC Hell Hunt 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
Hiiumaa 4
Tulevik 1
Nomme Utd 12
Raplamaa 0
Tartu Helios -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK 4
Nomme Utd U19 0
Flora -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 4
Rakvere FC Freedom 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Elva 6
Arukula Vigri 0
Raasiku Joker 1
TransferWise 3
Olympic Tallinn 6
Saku Sporting 2
Legion 1
Kohvile 1
Rumori Calcio 4
Tammeka Tartu 19
Zealot Sporting 0
Kristiine 8
Jogeva Wolves 3
Kuressaare 5
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
JK Poseidon 3
Helm 2
TBD -
Kalju -
FC Tallinn 4
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Saue JK Laagri 1
Harju JK Laagri U21 2
Tammeka Tartu U19 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 7
Kuusalu Kalev 0
1/16-finals
Narva 8
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Keila JK -
Flora U19 -
Kose 0
Tartu JK Welco 8
Harju JK Laagri 3
Tamper 1
Levadia -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Johvi Phoenix 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 5
Hiiumaa -
Nomme Utd -
Tartu Helios 1
Viimsi JK 4
Flora -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Elva -
Raasiku Joker -
Olympic Tallinn -
Saku Sporting -
Rumori Calcio 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Kristiine 0
Kuressaare 8
JK Poseidon 0
Kalju 12
FC Tallinn -
Harju JK Laagri U21 -
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 0
1/8-finals
TBD -
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Final
TBD -
TBD -