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Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Si United

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 Pitchaya Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Phuakphralap P.
51' Event
Janchaichit R.
71' Event
Salae N.

AI Match Summary

Nong Bua Pitchaya in this Thai League 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nong Bua Pitchaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Nong Bua Pitchaya
20%
Draws
38%
Nakhon Si United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nong Bua Pitchaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Nakhon Si United haven't matched Nong Bua Pitchaya's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nong Bua Pitchaya a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Thai League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nong Bua Pitchaya have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Nong Bua Pitchaya Clean Sheet 15%
Nakhon Si United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nong Bua Pitchaya Nakhon Si United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 3 11
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Si United
3:1
Oct 5, 2025 Thai League 2
Nakhon Si United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
1:2
Apr 27, 2024 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Si United
5:1
Aug 12, 2023 Thai League 2
Nakhon Si United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
1:1
Jan 12, 2022 League Cup
Nakhon Si United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nong Bua Pitchaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Phuakphralap P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Janchaichit R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Nakhon Si United Compare

Top Goalscorer Salae N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nong Bua Pitchaya 41 / 100
Nakhon Si United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nong Bua Pitchaya Nakhon Si United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nong Bua Pitchaya found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Nakhon Si United has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Nong Bua Pitchaya remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nong Bua Pitchaya VS Nakhon Si United
2.38 Goals Scored 0.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rasisalai United342011364:3571
2Sisaket United341612649:3160
3Pattani341610849:4558
4Nong Bua Pitchaya341661259:5954
5Police Tero341581150:4453
6Chainat Hornbill3412101250:4646
7Khonkaen United3411121160:5245
8Mahasarakham341291347:4245
9Trat FC341281449:5344
10Chiangmai United341411955:5843
11Phrae United3410131140:5043
12Pattaya United3410121245:4242
13Songkhla341181537:4641
14Chanthaburi3410101444:4640
15Nakhon Pathom341091529:3739
16Kasetsart349111446:4938
17Nakhon Si United348121432:5436
18Bangkok FC34981740:5635
19Lampang F.C.00000:00