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Nordmark Satrup vs Kilia Kiel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nordmark Satrup host Kilia Kiel in the Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Nordmark Satrup at 1.31 goals for, 1.88 against; Kilia Kiel at 3.03 for, 1.16 against. Head-to-head, Nordmark Satrup have won 0 to Kilia Kiel's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 29, 2025, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 2.19, favoring Kilia Kiel. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Nordmark Satrup
20%
Draws
73%
Kilia Kiel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kilia Kiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kilia Kiel lately — more wins on the board than Nordmark Satrup.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Kilia Kiel taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kilia Kiel have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Nordmark Satrup Clean Sheet 10%
Kilia Kiel Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nordmark Satrup Kilia Kiel
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 11 22
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.31 3.03
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs Kilia Kiel
0:2
Aug 9, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kilia Kiel vs Nordmark Satrup
3:0
Apr 12, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kilia Kiel vs Nordmark Satrup
6:2
Oct 3, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs Kilia Kiel
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nordmark Satrup 10 / 100
Kilia Kiel 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nordmark Satrup Kilia Kiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kilia Kiel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Nordmark Satrup's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Kilia Kiel has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Nordmark Satrup has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nordmark Satrup VS Kilia Kiel
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nordmark Satrup

(Home)
10 Oct
PSV Neumunster
4 : 1
Nordmark Satrup
03 Oct
Nordmark Satrup
0 : 1
Rotenhof
27 Sept
TSB Flensburg
4 : 0
Nordmark Satrup
19 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1
Hohenwestedt
13 Sept
VfR Neumunster
3 : 0
Nordmark Satrup
Page 1 of 7

Kilia Kiel

(Away)
10 Oct
Kilia Kiel
4 : 2
Lubeck II
03 Oct
Eckernforder SV
1 : 6
Kilia Kiel
26 Sept
Kilia Kiel
2 : 2
Phonix Lubeck B
19 Sept
Heider SV
4 : 1
Kilia Kiel
12 Sept
Kilia Kiel
2 : 1
Eichede
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holstein Kiel II 12 9 2 1 41:15 29
2 VfR Neumunster 11 7 3 1 30:15 24
3 Kilia Kiel 12 7 3 2 32:19 24
4 Rotenhof 12 6 4 2 27:21 22
5 TSB Flensburg 12 6 2 4 32:16 20
6 SC Rapid Lubeck 12 6 1 5 26:28 19
7 Oldenburger SV 11 5 2 4 30:24 17
8 Heider SV 12 5 2 5 21:31 17
9 PSV Neumunster 12 4 4 4 25:25 16
10 Eichede 12 3 5 4 19:15 14
11 Phonix Lubeck B 12 3 4 5 26:30 13
12 Nordmark Satrup 12 3 2 7 14:27 11
13 Hohenwestedt 12 2 4 6 21:30 10
14 Eckernforder SV 12 3 1 8 20:35 10
15 Lubeck II 12 3 1 8 17:32 10
16 Kaltenkirchener 12 2 2 8 18:36 8
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Main)