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Nordmark Satrup vs Phonix Lubeck B

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nordmark Satrup in this Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nordmark Satrup.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Nordmark Satrup
30%
Draws
29%
Phonix Lubeck B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nordmark Satrup

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Phonix Lubeck B haven't matched Nordmark Satrup's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Nordmark Satrup here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Nordmark Satrup Clean Sheet 10%
Phonix Lubeck B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nordmark Satrup Phonix Lubeck B
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.46 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Phonix Lubeck B vs Nordmark Satrup
4:2
Mar 28, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs Phonix Lubeck B
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Phonix Lubeck B vs Nordmark Satrup
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nordmark Satrup 30 / 100
Phonix Lubeck B 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nordmark Satrup Phonix Lubeck B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phonix Lubeck B has conceded goals in 100% of their last 29 outings.

Nordmark Satrup's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Nordmark Satrup remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nordmark Satrup VS Phonix Lubeck B
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Nordmark Satrup

(Home)
05 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1
Kaltenkirchener
29 Aug
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 3
Holstein Kiel II
22 Aug
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 0
SC Rapid Lubeck
15 Aug
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 3
Oldenburger SV
08 Aug
Lubeck II
2 : 4
Nordmark Satrup
Page 1 of 6

Phonix Lubeck B

(Away)
12 Sept
Rotenhof
2 : 1
Phonix Lubeck B
05 Sept
Phonix Lubeck B
4 : 4
TSB Flensburg
29 Aug
Hohenwestedt
2 : 2
Phonix Lubeck B
22 Aug
Phonix Lubeck B
2 : 3
VfR Neumunster
15 Aug
Kaltenkirchener
1 : 2
Phonix Lubeck B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Todesfelde 30 26 2 2 80:24 77
2 Holstein Kiel II 30 20 5 5 83:26 65
3 Kilia Kiel 30 19 4 7 87:37 61
4 Eichede 30 16 11 3 59:30 59
5 VfR Neumunster 30 15 5 10 61:55 50
6 Heider SV 30 14 5 11 59:58 47
7 PSV Neumunster 30 13 5 12 68:62 44
8 Phonix Lubeck B 30 12 6 12 63:70 42
9 Nordmark Satrup 30 12 4 14 44:51 40
10 Kaltenkirchener 30 10 6 14 49:53 36
11 Rotenhof 30 9 7 14 51:70 34
12 Hohenwestedt 30 8 5 17 48:64 29
13 Oldenburger SV 30 8 5 17 61:86 29
14 Eutin 08 30 7 6 17 32:65 27
15 Inter Turkspor Kiel 30 6 2 22 31:77 20
16 Preussen Reinfeld 30 4 4 22 38:86 16
Promotion - Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 (Promotion)