Sport Picks

Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2012

Lommedalen

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nordre Land play Lommedalen in the Division 3 - Group 3 2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nordre Land averaged 1.44 goals scored and 2.31 conceded. Lommedalen averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, Nordre Land won 0, Lommedalen won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 23, 2013 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Nordre Land and 1.24 for Lommedalen. This points to a Lommedalen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Nordre Land

23%

Draws

49%

Lommedalen

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Lommedalen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Nordre Land picked up more points recently compared to Lommedalen.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Nordre Land Clean Sheet 19%

Lommedalen Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nordre Land	Lommedalen
Matches Played	32	36
Wins	8	14
Draws	4	10
Losses	20	12
Goals Scored	1.44	2.03
Goals Conceded	2.31	1.72

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2013 Division 3 - Group 4

Lommedalen vs Nordre Land

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Jun 1, 2013 Division 3 - Group 4

Nordre Land vs Lommedalen

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 4 - 1

2:3

Aug 11, 2012 Division 3 - Group 3

Nordre Land vs Lommedalen

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

1:5

Apr 28, 2012 Division 3 - Group 3

Lommedalen vs Nordre Land

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nordre Land 29 / 100

Lommedalen 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nordre Land Lommedalen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lommedalen or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nordre Land attacking → ← attacking Lommedalen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nordre Land scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Lommedalen let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Nordre Land went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Lommedalen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 52

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75