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Stadium Background

Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

Superliga 2025/2026 Right to Dream Park, Farum
Nordsjaelland Logo

Nordsjaelland

1 - 1
FT
Aarhus Logo

Aarhus

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Mortensen P.
Assist: Jorgensen S.
45'
Amoako P.
65'
Sub
Emmery F. In: Andersen J.
Out: Emmery F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Superliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Nordsjaelland
30%
Draws
37%
Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aarhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nordsjaelland lately — more wins on the board than Aarhus.
  • Model gives Nordsjaelland a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Superliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Nordsjaelland Clean Sheet 19%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nordsjaelland Aarhus
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 17 12
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.82 2
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Superliga
Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus
2:0
Apr 23, 2026 Superliga
Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus
1:1
Apr 10, 2026 Superliga
Aarhus vs Nordsjaelland
1:1
Oct 24, 2025 Superliga
Aarhus vs Nordsjaelland
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Superliga
Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nordsjaelland Compare

Top Goalscorer Nene L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Aarhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Mortensen P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nordsjaelland 42 / 100
Aarhus 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nordsjaelland Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nordsjaelland scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Aarhus conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Nordsjaelland has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nordsjaelland VS Aarhus
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nordsjaelland

(Home)
20 Sept
Viborg
4 : 1
Nordsjaelland
16 Sept
Vatanspor
0 : 3
Nordsjaelland
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0
Aarhus
07 Sept
Midtjylland
2 : 2
Nordsjaelland
03 Sept
FC Copenhagen
2 : 0
Nordsjaelland
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Aarhus

(Away)
02 Oct
Aarhus
2 : 1
Vendsyssel FF
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2
Aarhus
16 Sept
Skjold
1 : 6
Aarhus
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0
Aarhus
05 Sept
Aarhus
2 : 2
Silkeborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aarhus 32 19 10 3 62:32 67
2 Midtjylland 32 16 12 4 72:36 60
3 Nordsjaelland 32 15 5 12 51:46 50
4 Brondby 32 13 6 13 44:35 45
5 Viborg 32 13 5 14 49:51 44
6 Sonderjyske 32 12 8 12 44:49 44
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)