Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nordsjaelland W vs Koge W Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

Danish Cup Women 2025/2026 Capelli Sport Stadion, Koge
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Schultz M.
24' Event
Schultz M.
46'
Sub
Mott A. In: Antvorskov S.
Out: Mott A.

AI Match Summary

Koge W in this Danish Cup Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Nordsjaelland W
15%
Draws
41%
Koge W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nordsjaelland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Koge W have won more games recently than Nordsjaelland W.
  • Model gives Nordsjaelland W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Koge W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Koge W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Nordsjaelland W Clean Sheet 13%
Koge W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nordsjaelland W Koge W
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 19 21
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2.7 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 A-Liga Women
Koge W vs Nordsjaelland W
4:6
May 16, 2026 Danish Cup Women
Nordsjaelland W vs Koge W
1:4
May 3, 2026 A-Liga Women
Nordsjaelland W vs Koge W
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 A-Liga Women
Koge W vs Nordsjaelland W
3:3
Nov 15, 2025 A-Liga Women
Koge W vs Nordsjaelland W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nordsjaelland W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Koge W Compare

Top Goalscorer Schultz M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thygesen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nordsjaelland W 40 / 100
Koge W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nordsjaelland W Koge W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nordsjaelland W's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Nordsjaelland W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Koge W conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nordsjaelland W VS Koge W
3.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nordsjaelland W

(Home)
26 Sept
Fortuna Hjorring W
1 : 1
Nordsjaelland W
22 Sept
Aarhus W
0 : 2
Nordsjaelland W
15 Sept
Nordsjaelland W
4 : 1
Midtjylland W
05 Sept
Koge W
4 : 6
Nordsjaelland W
01 Sept
Nordsjaelland W
4 : 0
KoldingQ W
Page 1 of 7

Koge W

(Away)
01 Oct
Koge W
5 : 1
Servette W
26 Sept
Koge W
4 : 1
KoldingQ W
22 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 0
Koge W
19 Sept
Koge W
4 : 0
Midtjylland W
12 Sept
Fortuna Hjorring W
1 : 2
Koge W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Skjold W 0
Osterbro IF W 1
Nordsjaelland W 4
Odense W 2
Randers Q W 0
KoldingQ W 7
Dalum/Naesby W 0
Midtjylland W 7
FC Copenhagen W 0
Koge W 6
Esbjerg W 0
Aarhus W 6
Vejgaard W 2
ASA Aarhus W 7
BSF W 0
Brondby W 7
Quarter-finals
Osterbro IF W 0
Nordsjaelland W 6
KoldingQ W 3
Midtjylland W 1
Koge W 2
Aarhus W 0
ASA Aarhus W 0
Brondby W 3
Semi-finals
Nordsjaelland W 9
KoldingQ W 2
Koge W 5
Brondby W 2
Final
Nordsjaelland W 1
Koge W 4