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Nordvarmland vs IFK Skovde

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nordvarmland play IFK Skovde in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nordvarmland averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. IFK Skovde averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Nordvarmland won 1, IFK Skovde won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 15, 2023 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Nordvarmland and 1.11 for IFK Skovde. This points to a IFK Skovde double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Nordvarmland
15%
Draws
52%
IFK Skovde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Skovde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Nordvarmland picked up more points recently compared to IFK Skovde.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Nordvarmland Clean Sheet 21%
IFK Skovde Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nordvarmland IFK Skovde
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 13
Draws 2 2
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1.27 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Nordvarmland vs IFK Skovde
0:6
Jun 18, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
IFK Skovde vs Nordvarmland
1:2
Oct 23, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Nordvarmland vs IFK Skovde
0:0
Jun 13, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
IFK Skovde vs Nordvarmland
4:1
Sep 27, 2015 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
IFK Skovde vs Nordvarmland
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nordvarmland 34 / 100
IFK Skovde 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nordvarmland IFK Skovde

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: IFK Skovde or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nordvarmland attacking → ← attacking IFK Skovde

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nordvarmland scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

IFK Skovde let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Nordvarmland went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

IFK Skovde lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 41
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Torslanda26185359:1959
2FBK Karlstad26185355:3059
3IFK Skovde26156559:2851
4Herrestads AIF26145739:2347
5Stenungsunds IF26126841:3442
6Grebbestad261061039:4936
7Vanersborgs FK26951234:4932
8Forward26941341:4231
9Lidkoping26710930:3231
10Gauthiod26931437:4330
11Saffle SK26841426:4328
12IK Zenith26751437:4626
13Nordvarmland26621826:5820
14Yxhults IK26541731:5819