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Noroeste vs Sao Jose EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista Estadio Alfredo de Castilho, Bauru
Noroeste Logo

Noroeste

1 - 1
FT
Sao Jose EC Logo

Sao Jose EC

Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sub
Vitinho In: Neto F.
Out: Vitinho
29' Event
Santos Oliveira L.
39' Event
Bruno Lopes
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Noroeste
35%
Draws
34%
Sao Jose EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Jose EC come out ahead of Noroeste on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Sao Jose EC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Noroeste Clean Sheet 13%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noroeste Sao Jose EC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 14 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.3 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs Noroeste
1:0
Sep 27, 2026 Copa Paulista
Noroeste vs Sao Jose EC
1:1
Jan 17, 2024 Paulista A2
Sao Jose EC vs Noroeste
2:1
Mar 17, 2022 Paulista A3
Sao Jose EC vs Noroeste
0:3
Apr 28, 2021 Paulista A3
Noroeste vs Sao Jose EC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Noroeste Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Lopes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sao Jose EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos Oliveira L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noroeste 31 / 100
Sao Jose EC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noroeste Sao Jose EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Noroeste found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Sao Jose EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Noroeste has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Noroeste VS Sao Jose EC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Noroeste

(Home)
03 Oct
Sao Jose EC
1 : 0
Noroeste
27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1
Sao Jose EC
19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0
Primavera EC
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Noroeste
22 Aug
Noroeste
4 : 3
Comercial
Page 1 of 6

Sao Jose EC

(Away)
03 Oct
Sao Jose EC
1 : 0
Noroeste
27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1
Sao Jose EC
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0
Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0
Sao Jose EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Sao Jose EC -
TBD -
EC Sao Bernardo 2
Comercial 3
Noroeste -
TBD -
Primavera EC 12
Sao Caetano 0
Linense -
TBD -
Paulista 2
Gremio Prudente 7
Juventus-SP -
TBD -
Bandeirante 3
Uniao Sao Joao 4
Quarter-finals
Sao Jose EC 3
Comercial 0
Noroeste 3
Primavera EC 2
Linense 3
Gremio Prudente 4
Juventus-SP 1
Uniao Sao Joao 2
Semi-finals
Sao Jose EC 2
Noroeste 1
Gremio Prudente 1
Uniao Sao Joao 2
Final
Sao Jose EC -
Uniao Sao Joao -