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Norrby vs Jonkoping

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Norrby play Jonkoping in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Norrby averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Jonkoping averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Norrby won 2, Jonkoping won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 14, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Norrby and 1.75 for Jonkoping. This points to a Jonkoping double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Norrby
23%
Draws
40%
Jonkoping
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Jonkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Norrby picked up more points recently compared to Jonkoping.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Norrby Clean Sheet 12%
Jonkoping Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norrby Jonkoping
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.66 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Norrby vs Jonkoping
1:3
Aug 25, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Norrby vs Jonkoping
2:1
Apr 28, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs Norrby
1:0
Sep 2, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs Norrby
1:0
Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Norrby vs Jonkoping
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norrby Compare

Top Goalscorer Haziraj L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Jonkoping Compare

Top Goalscorer Shamoun J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grauberg K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norrby 36 / 100
Jonkoping 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norrby Jonkoping

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jonkoping or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Norrby attacking → ← attacking Jonkoping

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norrby scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Jonkoping let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Norrby went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Jonkoping lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 44
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75