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Stadium Background

Norrby vs Varnamo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Borås Arena, Borås
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Norrby host Varnamo in the Superettan. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Varnamo have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Norrby have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Norrby slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.31) back Norrby to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Norrby
15%
Draws
51%
Varnamo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varnamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Varnamo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Norrby here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Norrby Clean Sheet 18%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norrby Varnamo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 12 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.21 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Norrby
2:2
Nov 27, 2021 Superettan
Varnamo vs Norrby
1:2
Jun 19, 2021 Superettan
Norrby vs Varnamo
2:0
Mar 7, 2020 Club Friendly
Norrby vs Varnamo
6:1
Sep 24, 2018 Superettan
Norrby vs Varnamo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norrby 32 / 100
Varnamo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norrby Varnamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Varnamo conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Norrby scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Varnamo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Norrby VS Varnamo
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Norrby

(Home)
25 Oct
Norrby
0 : 4
Norrkoping
18 Oct
Nordic United
2 : 1
Norrby
10 Oct
Norrby
2 : 0
Oster
20 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 0
Norrby
14 Sept
Norrby
1 : 2
Varberg
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Varnamo

(Away)
24 Oct
Varnamo
0 : 1
Sandviken
18 Oct
Sundsvall
0 : 1
Varnamo
11 Oct
Varnamo
1 : 2
Falkenberg
19 Sept
Oddevold
1 : 2
Varnamo
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3
Oster
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 28 19 5 4 58:18 62
2 Falkenberg 28 15 6 7 52:38 51
3 Ostersund 28 12 12 4 38:26 48
4 Varberg 27 13 7 7 45:34 46
5 Landskrona 27 12 7 8 45:32 43
6 Oddevold 28 11 9 8 48:37 42
7 Oster 28 13 3 12 46:45 42
8 Sandviken 28 11 8 9 46:36 41
9 Nordic United 28 10 9 9 41:47 39
10 Helsingborg 28 8 8 12 37:48 32
11 Varnamo 28 9 5 14 35:48 32
12 Ljungskile 28 7 9 12 35:40 30
13 Orebro 28 6 11 11 31:42 29
14 Norrby 28 5 12 11 31:41 27
15 Brage 28 6 8 14 45:55 26
16 Sundsvall 28 6 1 21 19:65 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)