Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Norrby host Varnamo in the Superettan. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Varnamo have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Norrby have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Norrby slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.31) back Norrby to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Varnamo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Norrby here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Norrby | Varnamo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Varnamo conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Norrby scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Varnamo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Norrby
(Home)Varnamo
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norrkoping | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 58:18 | 62 |
| 2 | Falkenberg | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 52:38 | 51 |
| 3 | Ostersund | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 38:26 | 48 |
| 4 | Varberg | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45:34 | 46 |
| 5 | Landskrona | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:32 | 43 |
| 6 | Oddevold | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 48:37 | 42 |
| 7 | Oster | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 46:45 | 42 |
| 8 | Sandviken | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46:36 | 41 |
| 9 | Nordic United | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41:47 | 39 |
| 10 | Helsingborg | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 37:48 | 32 |
| 11 | Varnamo | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | 32 |
| 12 | Ljungskile | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 35:40 | 30 |
| 13 | Orebro | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 31:42 | 29 |
| 14 | Norrby | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 31:41 | 27 |
| 15 | Brage | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 45:55 | 26 |
| 16 | Sundsvall | 28 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 19:65 | 19 |