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Norrkoping vs Ostersund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Norrkopings Idrottspark, Norrköping
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Norrkoping host Ostersund in the Superettan. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Norrkoping have averaged 1.79 scored and 0.68 conceded recently, against Ostersund's 1.33 scored and 1.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Norrkoping have won 3 to Ostersund's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.31 - 0.63) back Norrkoping to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Norrkoping
35%
Draws
26%
Ostersund
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Norrkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Ostersund haven't matched Norrkoping's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Norrkoping a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Norrkoping Clean Sheet 20%
Ostersund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norrkoping Ostersund
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 6 12
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.79 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Superettan
Ostersund vs Norrkoping
0:2
Mar 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Norrkoping vs Ostersund
0:0
Aug 29, 2021 Allsvenskan
Norrkoping vs Ostersund
3:0
Aug 15, 2021 Allsvenskan
Ostersund vs Norrkoping
1:2
Sep 10, 2020 Allsvenskan
Norrkoping vs Ostersund
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norrkoping 67 / 100
Ostersund 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norrkoping Ostersund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norrkoping Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norrkoping found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Norrkoping went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ostersund has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Norrkoping VS Ostersund
2 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Norrkoping

(Home)
20 Oct
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Orebro
13 Oct
Norrkoping
4 : 0
Sundsvall
06 Oct
Norrkoping
0 : 0
Kalmar
19 Sept
Oster
1 : 3
Norrkoping
13 Sept
Norrkoping
0 : 0
Oddevold
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Ostersund

(Away)
24 Oct
Ostersund
4 : 1
Nordic United
17 Oct
Sandviken
0 : 0
Ostersund
10 Oct
Ostersund
1 : 1
Varberg
03 Oct
Rosenborg
2 : 0
Ostersund
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 27 18 5 4 54:18 59
2 Falkenberg 27 15 6 6 52:37 51
3 Ostersund 28 12 12 4 38:26 48
4 Varberg 27 13 7 7 45:34 46
5 Landskrona 27 12 7 8 45:32 43
6 Oddevold 28 11 9 8 48:37 42
7 Oster 28 13 3 12 46:45 42
8 Sandviken 28 11 8 9 46:36 41
9 Nordic United 28 10 9 9 41:47 39
10 Varnamo 28 9 5 14 35:48 32
11 Helsingborg 27 8 7 12 36:47 31
12 Ljungskile 27 7 8 12 34:39 29
13 Norrby 27 5 12 10 31:37 27
14 Brage 28 6 8 14 45:55 26
15 Orebro 27 5 11 11 30:42 26
16 Sundsvall 28 6 1 21 19:65 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)