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Norteno CF vs UD Poblense

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 game between Norteno CF and UD Poblense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Norteno CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Norteno CF
15%
Draws
36%
UD Poblense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Norteno CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Poblense come out ahead of Norteno CF on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans UD Poblense's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Norteno CF Clean Sheet 20%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norteno CF UD Poblense
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 7 20
Draws 3 9
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.73 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Norteno CF vs UD Poblense
2:0
Aug 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs Norteno CF
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norteno CF 28 / 100
UD Poblense 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norteno CF UD Poblense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Poblense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

UD Poblense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Norteno CF scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

UD Poblense has conceded goals in 57% of their last 40 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS UD Poblense
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Norteno CF

(Home)
15 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Norteno CF
07 May
Norteno CF
0 : 0
Mercadal
30 Apr
Norteno CF
1 : 0
Alaior
25 Apr
Binissalem
3 : 0
Norteno CF
17 Apr
Norteno CF
0 : 3
Pena Deportiva
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UD Poblense

(Away)
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
UD Poblense
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Baleares
31 May
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Aguilas FC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)