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North Carolina Courage W vs Boston Legacy W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NWSL Women WakeMed Soccer Park, Cary, NC
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Match Events

10' Event
Sanchez A.
Assist: Rauch F.
20'
Sub
Schlegel A. In: Thompson L.
Out: Schlegel A.
46'
Sub
Elgin E. In: Carabali J.
Out: Elgin E.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between North Carolina Courage W and Boston Legacy W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Carolina Courage W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
North Carolina Courage W
15%
Draws
51%
Boston Legacy W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boston Legacy W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • North Carolina Courage W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 13%
Boston Legacy W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Carolina Courage W Boston Legacy W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.97 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Boston Legacy W
2:1
Apr 29, 2026 NWSL Women
Boston Legacy W vs North Carolina Courage W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Carolina Courage W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Boston Legacy W Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Carolina Courage W 30 / 100
Boston Legacy W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Carolina Courage W Boston Legacy W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Carolina Courage W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Carolina Courage W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Boston Legacy W conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: North Carolina Courage W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

North Carolina Courage W VS Boston Legacy W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

North Carolina Courage W

(Home)
03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6
North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6

Boston Legacy W

(Away)
04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4
Boston Legacy W
26 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0
Boston Legacy W
20 Sept
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2
Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 3
Boston Legacy W
05 Sept
Utah Royals W
1 : 2
Boston Legacy W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)