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North Carolina Courage W vs Denver Summit W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NWSL Women WakeMed Soccer Park, Cary, NC
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AI Match Summary

North Carolina Courage W host Denver Summit W in the NWSL Women. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: North Carolina Courage W at 1.9 goals for, 1.34 against; Denver Summit W at 1.79 for, 1.34 against. Head-to-head, North Carolina Courage W have won 1 to Denver Summit W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 6, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.94, favoring North Carolina Courage W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
North Carolina Courage W
20%
Draws
46%
Denver Summit W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Denver Summit W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and North Carolina Courage W come out ahead of Denver Summit W on wins alone.
  • North Carolina Courage W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 10%
Denver Summit W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Carolina Courage W Denver Summit W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.9 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 NWSL Women
Denver Summit W vs North Carolina Courage W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Carolina Courage W 47 / 100
Denver Summit W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Carolina Courage W Denver Summit W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Carolina Courage W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Carolina Courage W scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Denver Summit W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: North Carolina Courage W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

North Carolina Courage W VS Denver Summit W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

North Carolina Courage W

(Home)
03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6
North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6

Denver Summit W

(Away)
04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Kansas City Current W
4 : 1
Denver Summit W
20 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 1
Seattle Reign W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2
Bay FC W
12 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 3
Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)