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North Carolina Courage W vs Gotham FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NWSL Women WakeMed Soccer Park, Cary, NC
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Match Events

8' Event
Dudley J.
Assist: Kerr S.
47'
Sanchez A.
69' Event
Staude N.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between North Carolina Courage W and Gotham FC W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gotham FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
North Carolina Courage W
15%
Draws
53%
Gotham FC W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gotham FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Gotham FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans North Carolina Courage W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 15%
Gotham FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Carolina Courage W Gotham FC W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.9 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Gotham FC W
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs North Carolina Courage W
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Gotham FC W
3:2
Apr 13, 2025 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs North Carolina Courage W
3:1
May 4, 2024 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs North Carolina Courage W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Carolina Courage W Compare

Top Goalscorer Staude N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Gotham FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudley J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Carolina Courage W 48 / 100
Gotham FC W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Carolina Courage W Gotham FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Carolina Courage W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Carolina Courage W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Gotham FC W conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

North Carolina Courage W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

North Carolina Courage W VS Gotham FC W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

North Carolina Courage W

(Home)
03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6
North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6

Gotham FC W

(Away)
04 Oct
Gotham FC W
1 : 1
Angel City W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1
Chicago Stars W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
06 Sept
Denver Summit W
3 : 0
Gotham FC W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)