Sport Picks

Stadium Background

North Carolina Courage W vs Racing Louisville W

USA USA

NWSL Women WakeMed Soccer Park
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Sanchez A.
Assist: Linnehan P.
40'
Jacobs N.
45' Event
Weber S.
Assist: Sears E.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between North Carolina Courage W and Racing Louisville W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Carolina Courage W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
North Carolina Courage W
6%
Draws
4%
Racing Louisville W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: North Carolina Courage W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • North Carolina Courage W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives North Carolina Courage W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Carolina Courage W Racing Louisville W
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs North Carolina Courage W
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Racing Louisville W
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Racing Louisville W
1:3
Mar 16, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs North Carolina Courage W
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs North Carolina Courage W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Carolina Courage W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Racing Louisville W Compare

Top Goalscorer Weber S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Carolina Courage W 95 / 100
Racing Louisville W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Carolina Courage W Racing Louisville W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Louisville W has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Difficult form: Racing Louisville W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

North Carolina Courage W scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

North Carolina Courage W VS Racing Louisville W
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gotham FC W1593319:1030
2San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
3Washington Spirit W1483322:1127
4Portland Thorns FC W1683525:1827
5Utah Royals W1583422:1627
6Kansas City Current W1581623:2225
7Angel City W1471622:1422
8North Carolina Courage W1463520:1921
9Orlando Pride W1662821:2120
10Denver Summit W1454521:1919
11Bay FC W1453616:1918
12Seattle Reign W1452715:1917
13Boston Legacy W1544716:2116
14Houston Dash W1544718:2416
15Chicago Stars W1540118:3012
16Racing Louisville W14221016:278