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North Carolina FC U23 vs Salem City

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between North Carolina FC U23 and Salem City finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salem City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
North Carolina FC U23
30%
Draws
34%
Salem City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: North Carolina FC U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Salem City come out ahead of North Carolina FC U23 on wins alone.
  • North Carolina FC U23 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
North Carolina FC U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Salem City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Carolina FC U23 Salem City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 USL League Two
North Carolina FC U23 vs Salem City
0:1
Jun 6, 2026 USL League Two
Salem City vs North Carolina FC U23
2:3
Jun 14, 2025 USL League Two
Salem City vs North Carolina FC U23
2:1
May 21, 2025 USL League Two
North Carolina FC U23 vs Salem City
1:1
Jun 19, 2024 USL League Two
North Carolina FC U23 vs Salem City
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Carolina FC U23 35 / 100
Salem City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Carolina FC U23 Salem City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Carolina FC U23 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Salem City let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

North Carolina FC U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Carolina FC U23 VS Salem City
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%