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North District vs Lee Man Warriors

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League 2025/2026 North District Sports Ground, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Camargo E.
23'
Sub
Kauan V. In: Tsang C.
Out: Kauan V.
24' Event
Weverton Gudula

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between North District and Lee Man Warriors finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lee Man Warriors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
North District
15%
Draws
51%
Lee Man Warriors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lee Man Warriors carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
North District Clean Sheet 10%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North District Lee Man Warriors
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 20
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 2.17 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.67 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
North District vs Lee Man Warriors
2:4
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
North District vs Lee Man Warriors
3:3
Nov 23, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs North District
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 League Cup
North District vs Lee Man Warriors
1:2
May 17, 2025 Premier League
North District vs Lee Man Warriors
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North District Compare

Top Goalscorer Weverton Gudula
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Lee Man Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Camargo E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Baffoe N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North District 30 / 100
Lee Man Warriors 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North District Lee Man Warriors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North District's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Lee Man Warriors conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: North District remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

North District VS Lee Man Warriors
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

North District

(Home)
13 Sept
North District
5 : 0
Hong Kong Rangers
06 Sept
Shatin
0 : 5
North District
29 Aug
North District
0 : 0
Kitchee
23 Aug
North District
2 : 0
Tai Po
24 May
Eastern District
3 : 2
North District
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Lee Man Warriors

(Away)
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1
Lee Man Warriors
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1
Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Kowloon City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 22 16 4 2 54:28 52
2 Tai Po 22 13 4 5 49:32 43
3 Lee Man Warriors 22 12 6 4 57:26 42
4 Eastern AA 22 9 5 8 39:37 32
5 North District 22 8 8 6 43:39 32
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)