Sport Picks

North East United vs Border Security Force - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India

Durand Cup 2024

North East United

4 - 0

Border Security Force

Our Tip

Match Events

Guillermo

20'

Madathil J.

48'

Guillermo

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

North East United in this Durand Cup 2024 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

North East United

15%

Draws

Border Security Force

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North East United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to North East United lately — more wins on the board than Border Security Force.
85% — that's where the model lands on North East United taking it.
North East United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor North East United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

North East United Clean Sheet 17%

Border Security Force Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	North East United	Border Security Force
Matches Played	31	6
Wins	15	0
Draws	9	0
Losses	7	6
Goals Scored	2.16	0.67
Goals Conceded	1.45	4.67
Expected Goals (xG)	0.97	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2024 Durand Cup

North East United vs Border Security Force

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North East United Compare

Top Goalscorer Guillermo

2 Goals

Assists Leader Madathil J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.75

Avg xA / game 0.48

Border Security Force Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North East United 84 / 100

Border Security Force 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

North East United Border Security Force

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North East United Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North East United's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Border Security Force let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Border Security Force's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

North East United VS -

0.75 Goals Scored 0

1.75 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

North East United

(Home)

05 Oct

East Bengal

7 : 2

North East United

29 Sept

Mohun Bagan

1 : 1

North East United

26 Sept

Sreenidi Deccan

0 : 3

North East United

20 Aug

Mohun Bagan

1 : 0

North East United

17 Aug

Lajong

2 : 5

North East United

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Border Security Force

(Away)

07 Aug

Border Security Force

0 : 3

Mohammedan

04 Aug

Mohun Bagan

4 : 0

Border Security Force

01 Aug

Diamond Harbour

8 : 1

Border Security Force

12 Aug

Bodoland FC

4 : 3

Border Security Force

09 Aug

North East United

4 : 0

Border Security Force

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