Sport Picks

Stadium Background

North East United vs Karbi Anglong

India India

Durand Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ajaraie A.
(Penalty)
27' Event
Nkengue J.
49' Event
Ajaraie A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
North East United
30%
Draws
12%
Karbi Anglong
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: North East United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to North East United lately — more wins on the board than Karbi Anglong.
  • North East United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • North East United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor North East United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
North East United Clean Sheet 20%
Karbi Anglong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North East United Karbi Anglong
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 15 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.07 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Durand Cup
North East United vs Karbi Anglong
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North East United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajaraie A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nickson M. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Karbi Anglong Compare

Top Goalscorer Nkengue J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North East United 85 / 100
Karbi Anglong 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North East United Karbi Anglong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North East United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: North East United scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Karbi Anglong conceded in 73% of 22 recent games.

Recent resilience: North East United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North East United VS Karbi Anglong
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

North East United

(Home)
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
North East United
26 Sept
Sreenidi Deccan
0 : 3
North East United
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
North East United
17 Aug
Lajong
2 : 5
North East United
11 Aug
North East United
3 : 1
FC 1
Page 1 of 6

Karbi Anglong

(Away)
13 Aug
Bodoland FC
6 : 0
Karbi Anglong
08 Aug
North East United
4 : 1
Karbi Anglong
03 Aug
Karbi Anglong
1 : 2
FC 1
08 May
NEROCA
2 : 2
Karbi Anglong
02 May
United SC
1 : 1
Karbi Anglong
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 3 3 0 0 15:0 9
2 East Bengal 3 2 0 1 13:1 6
3 South United 3 1 0 2 2:13 3
4 CISF Protectors 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Army Red 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Samaleswari SC 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Mohammedan 3 1 0 2 7:5 3
4 Baghpat 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Delhi 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Jamshedpur 3 2 0 1 12:2 6
3 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 3 1 0 2 3:14 3
4 Defenders FC 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Raengdai 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
2 TRAU FC 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 NEROCA 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Indian Navy 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lajong 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Langsning 3 1 2 0 10:5 5
3 Nongkseh 3 1 1 1 9:4 4
4 Mumbay FC 3 0 0 3 0:17 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North East United 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 Bodoland FC 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 FC 1 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Karbi Anglong 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)