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North Esporte Clube vs Guarani-MG

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Leo Baiano
71' Event
Everson
76' Event
Luiz Thiago

AI Match Summary

North Esporte Clube in this Mineiro 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored North Esporte Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
North Esporte Clube
39%
Draws
31%
Guarani-MG
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to North Esporte Clube lately — more wins on the board than Guarani-MG.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
North Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani-MG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Esporte Clube Guarani-MG
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Mineiro 2
North Esporte Clube vs Guarani-MG
2:1
May 5, 2025 Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG vs North Esporte Clube
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Baiano
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luiz Thiago
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Guarani-MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Everson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Esporte Clube 31 / 100
Guarani-MG 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Esporte Clube Guarani-MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Esporte Clube found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Guarani-MG has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

North Esporte Clube went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Esporte Clube VS Guarani-MG
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

North Esporte Clube

(Home)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
01 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
Uberlandia
21 Feb
Uberlandia
1 : 1
North Esporte Clube
14 Feb
America MG
2 : 1
North Esporte Clube
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Guarani-MG

(Away)
12 Jul
Guarani-MG
2 : 4
Boa
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Mamore
2 : 2
Guarani-MG
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Uberaba
2 : 1
Guarani-MG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Patrocinense105237:617
2URT1044211:816
3Mamore1034311:1113
4Uberaba1025311:1111
5Caldense102539:1011
6Varginha102449:1210
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ipatinga1052311:1017
2North Esporte Clube1044217:1316
3Democrata SL103439:813
4Valeriodoce1034312:1213
5Guarani-MG1033410:1012
6Nacional de Muriae1023510:169
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)