Sport Picks

Stadium Background

North Esporte Clube vs Pouso Alegre

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Arena Credinor, Montes Claros
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Gabriel Santiago In: Bruno Lopes
Out: Gabriel Santiago
11' Event
Caua de Aguiar Alves M.
24'
Leo Gobo

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro game between North Esporte Clube and Pouso Alegre finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Esporte Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
North Esporte Clube
22%
Draws
18%
Pouso Alegre
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: North Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • North Esporte Clube carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives North Esporte Clube a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
North Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 68%
Pouso Alegre Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Esporte Clube Pouso Alegre
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 10
Draws 11 3
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 1.33 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.17 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Mineiro
North Esporte Clube vs Pouso Alegre
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Ermel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Clayton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Pouso Alegre Compare

Top Goalscorer Caua de Aguiar Alves M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Alencar Oliveira V. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Esporte Clube 68 / 100
Pouso Alegre 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Esporte Clube Pouso Alegre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

North Esporte Clube scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Pouso Alegre let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

North Esporte Clube went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Esporte Clube VS Pouso Alegre
1.33 Goals Scored 0.75
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

North Esporte Clube

(Home)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
01 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
Uberlandia
21 Feb
Uberlandia
1 : 1
North Esporte Clube
14 Feb
America MG
2 : 1
North Esporte Clube
Page 1 of 7

Pouso Alegre

(Away)
06 Jun
Madureira
1 : 0
Pouso Alegre
30 May
Pouso Alegre
1 : 2
Portuguesa
23 May
Agua Santa
2 : 0
Pouso Alegre
16 May
Pouso Alegre
0 : 2
Portuguesa RJ
09 May
Pouso Alegre
3 : 0
America RJ
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG835016:814
2URT83237:711
3Uberlandia82338:129
4Democrata GV82153:87
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America MG843110:615
2Pouso Alegre841314:1413
3Tombense833210:712
4Betim FC82336:99
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruzeiro850314:715
2North Esporte Clube832314:1111
3Itabirito821510:177
4Athletic Club81437:137
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)