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North Ferriby United vs Nantwich

England England

NPL Premier Division 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

North Ferriby United play Nantwich in the NPL Premier Division 2018/2019. Nantwich are favorites here. Recently, North Ferriby United averaged 0.71 goals scored and 3.1 conceded. Nantwich averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, North Ferriby United won 2, Nantwich won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 13, 2019 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for North Ferriby United and 1.24 for Nantwich. This points to a Nantwich double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
North Ferriby United
19%
Draws
68%
Nantwich
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Nantwich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • North Ferriby United picked up more points recently compared to Nantwich.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
North Ferriby United Clean Sheet 19%
Nantwich Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Ferriby United Nantwich
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 1 14
Draws 1 4
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.71 1.53
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2019 NPL Premier Division
Nantwich vs North Ferriby United
0:0
Nov 10, 2018 NPL Premier Division
North Ferriby United vs Nantwich
1:4
Apr 13, 2013 NPL Premier Division
North Ferriby United vs Nantwich
0:0
Nov 3, 2012 NPL Premier Division
Nantwich vs North Ferriby United
2:3
Apr 21, 2012 NPL Premier Division
North Ferriby United vs Nantwich
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Ferriby United Compare

Top Goalscorer Waudby T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Nantwich Compare

Top Goalscorer Saunders C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stair J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Ferriby United 16 / 100
Nantwich 63 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Ferriby United Nantwich

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nantwich Win (2)
Secondary Pick Nantwich & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +160%
20.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

North Ferriby United attacking → ← attacking Nantwich

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Ferriby United scored in 52% of their last 21 games.

Nantwich let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

North Ferriby United went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Nantwich lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

4 Points in last 5 46
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Farsley40286682:4090
2South Shields40276786:4187
3Warrington Town40259669:3384
4Nantwich401912970:5969
5Buxton4018121060:4566
6Gainsborough401981353:4165
7Basford Utd.401871582:6761
8Scarborough Athletic401871570:5661
9Witton Albion4016101445:4158
10Hyde401581758:5353
11Whitby401542148:5949
12Lancaster4012131542:6149
13Hednesford401391851:6348
14Stafford4011141562:7047
15Matlock401282058:7944
16Bamber Bridge4010121862:6742
17Stalybridge401192046:6242
18Grantham Town401262239:7242
19Mickleover4010111937:6141
20Marine4010102039:5440
21Workington40852738:7329
22North Ferriby United00000:00