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North Geelong Warriors vs Brunswick Juventus

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Pullen L.
18' Event
Wall P.
20' Event
Chapman A.

AI Match Summary

The Victoria Premier League game between North Geelong Warriors and Brunswick Juventus finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brunswick Juventus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
North Geelong Warriors
6%
Draws
90%
Brunswick Juventus
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Brunswick Juventus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brunswick Juventus come out ahead of North Geelong Warriors on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Brunswick Juventus taking it.
  • Regular Victoria Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Brunswick Juventus here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
North Geelong Warriors Clean Sheet 10%
Brunswick Juventus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Geelong Warriors Brunswick Juventus
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 4 2
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.63 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Brunswick Juventus vs North Geelong Warriors
3:0
Apr 18, 2026 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Brunswick Juventus
3:4
Jun 11, 2022 Victoria Premier League
Brunswick Juventus vs North Geelong Warriors
1:0
Mar 26, 2022 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Brunswick Juventus
3:1
Jun 26, 2021 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Brunswick Juventus
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Geelong Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Wall P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chapman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Brunswick Juventus Compare

Top Goalscorer Pullen L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ellis S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Geelong Warriors 10 / 100
Brunswick Juventus 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Geelong Warriors Brunswick Juventus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Geelong Warriors found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Brunswick Juventus let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

North Geelong Warriors went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Geelong Warriors VS Brunswick Juventus
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

North Geelong Warriors

(Home)
25 Jul
Brunswick Juventus
3 : 0
North Geelong Warriors
18 Jul
North Geelong Warriors
0 : 2
Melbourne Victory U21
11 Jul
Eltham Redbacks
3 : 1
North Geelong Warriors
04 Jul
North Geelong Warriors
1 : 1
Port Melbourne Sharks
20 Jun
Manningham United Blues
2 : 3
North Geelong Warriors
Page 1 of 6

Brunswick Juventus

(Away)
25 Jul
Brunswick Juventus
3 : 0
North Geelong Warriors
18 Jul
Langwarrin
0 : 1
Brunswick Juventus
15 Jul
Marlin Coast
0 : 4
Brunswick Juventus
10 Jul
Brunswick Juventus
5 : 4
Western United U21
03 Jul
Brunswick Juventus
7 : 2
Brunswick City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Melbourne Knights22152542:1747
2Brunswick Juventus22150744:3045
3Northcote City22134540:2443
4Melbourne Victory U2121104750:3534
5Bulleen2196637:2933
6Eltham Redbacks2295849:3832
7Melbourne Srbija21102926:2332
8Manningham United Blues22931038:4630
9North Geelong Warriors21911133:4228
10Brunswick City22831141:4427
11Western United U2122811344:5925
12Langwarrin21651036:4623
13North Sunshine Eagles21541229:3719
14Port Melbourne Sharks22341512:5113
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Promotion - Play Offs)