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North Geelong Warriors vs Langwarrin

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Blumenthal B.
12' Event
Nepomuceno G.
14' Event
Webb A.

AI Match Summary

The Victoria Premier League game between North Geelong Warriors and Langwarrin finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Langwarrin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
North Geelong Warriors
33%
Draws
27%
Langwarrin
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: North Geelong Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • North Geelong Warriors have managed 1.88 goals a game lately — Langwarrin are scoring more at 2.38.
  • Model gives North Geelong Warriors a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Victoria Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
North Geelong Warriors Clean Sheet 10%
Langwarrin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Geelong Warriors Langwarrin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.88 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Langwarrin
2:4
Jun 1, 2024 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Langwarrin
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Langwarrin vs North Geelong Warriors
2:1
Jun 18, 2022 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Langwarrin
1:1
Apr 2, 2022 Victoria Premier League
Langwarrin vs North Geelong Warriors
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Geelong Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Nepomuceno G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anghel I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Langwarrin Compare

Top Goalscorer Blumenthal B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Webb A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Geelong Warriors 38 / 100
Langwarrin 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Geelong Warriors Langwarrin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Geelong Warriors found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Langwarrin has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

North Geelong Warriors has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

North Geelong Warriors VS Langwarrin
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Melbourne Knights20132535:1641
2Northcote City20123534:2039
3Brunswick Juventus20130740:3039
4Melbourne Victory U212094748:3531
5Eltham Redbacks2094748:3531
6Bulleen2086633:2730
7Melbourne Srbija1992824:2229
8Manningham United Blues2092934:3829
9North Geelong Warriors1991933:3728
10Western United U2120811142:5025
11Brunswick City20731036:4224
12Langwarrin2065936:4523
13North Sunshine Eagles20531228:3618
14Port Melbourne Sharks20241410:4810