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North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup Women U17 Suzhou Sports Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Yu Jong-Hyang
Assist: Kim Won-Sim
46'
Sub
Kurita N. In: Higuchi R.
Out: Kurita N.
46'
Sub
Tamamura M. In: Sumiya R.
Out: Tamamura M.

AI Match Summary

The AFC Asian Cup Women U17 game between North Korea U17 W and Japan U17 W finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Korea U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
North Korea U17 W
6%
Draws
4%
Japan U17 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: North Korea U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • North Korea U17 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives North Korea U17 W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal AFC Asian Cup Women U17 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and North Korea U17 W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
North Korea U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Japan U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Korea U17 W Japan U17 W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 28 19
Draws 0 4
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 5.13 4.13
Goals Conceded 0.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 5.13 4.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
5:1
Nov 1, 2025 World Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
5:1
May 19, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
1:0
Oct 21, 2016 World Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
1:0
Sep 21, 2010 World Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Korea U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Yu Jong-Hyang
4 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Won-Sim
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.95
Avg xA / game 2.56

Japan U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hayashi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.75
Avg xA / game 2.29

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea U17 W 83 / 100
Japan U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Korea U17 W Japan U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Korea U17 W scored in 100% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

North Korea U17 W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Japan U17 W has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

North Korea U17 W VS Japan U17 W
5.13 Goals Scored 4.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
China U17 W3
India U17 W0
North Korea U17 W6
Thailand U17 W0
Japan U17 W1
South Korea U17 W0
Vietnam U17 W0
Australia U17 W2
Semi-finals
China U17 W2
North Korea U17 W4
Japan U17 W4
Australia U17 W0
Final
North Korea U17 W5
Japan U17 W1