Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Championship Women U19 2017

Japan U19 W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

North Korea U19 W play Japan U19 W in the AFC Championship Women U19 2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, North Korea U19 W averaged 3.11 goals scored and 0.42 conceded. Japan U19 W averaged 2.97 goals scored and 0.61 conceded. In past meetings, North Korea U19 W won 1, Japan U19 W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 9, 2019 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for North Korea U19 W and 1.69 for Japan U19 W. This points to a North Korea U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

North Korea U19 W

15%

Draws

42%

Japan U19 W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Korea U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

North Korea U19 W picked up more points recently compared to Japan U19 W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%

North Korea U19 W Clean Sheet 13%

Japan U19 W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	North Korea U19 W	Japan U19 W
Matches Played	36	36
Wins	30	29
Draws	1	3
Losses	5	4
Goals Scored	3.11	2.97
Goals Conceded	0.42	0.61
Expected Goals (xG)	3.75	2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2019 AFC Championship Women U19

North Korea U19 W vs Japan U19 W

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 4 - 3

1:2

May 12, 2019 Friendly International Women

Japan U19 W vs North Korea U19 W

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Oct 28, 2017 AFC Championship Women U19

North Korea U19 W vs Japan U19 W

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Aug 29, 2015 AFC Championship Women U19

Japan U19 W vs North Korea U19 W

Possession: 56% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Oct 20, 2013 AFC Championship Women U19

Japan U19 W vs North Korea U19 W

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea U19 W 41 / 100

Japan U19 W 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

North Korea U19 W Japan U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: North Korea U19 W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

North Korea U19 W attacking → ← attacking Japan U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Korea U19 W scored in 89% of their last 36 games.

Japan U19 W let in goals in 36% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

North Korea U19 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Japan U19 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

91 Points in last 5 90

3.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.75

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38