Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2025

North Korea U20

4 - 0

Sri Lanka U20

Our Tip

Match Events

34'

Ri Jong-dok

46'

Choe Kuk

64'

Ri Jong-dok

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with North Korea U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

North Korea U20

Draws

Sri Lanka U20

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: North Korea U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

North Korea U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
North Korea U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
North Korea U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor North Korea U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%

North Korea U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Sri Lanka U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	North Korea U20	Sri Lanka U20
Matches Played	16	16
Wins	3	1
Draws	5	2
Losses	8	13
Goals Scored	1.43	0.13
Goals Conceded	0.71	2.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.43	0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.71	2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U20

North Korea U20 vs Sri Lanka U20

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Korea U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ri Jong-dok

3 Goals

Assists Leader Choe Kuk

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.1

Avg xA / game 0.71

Sri Lanka U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.12

Avg xA / game 0.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea U20 85 / 100

Sri Lanka U20 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

North Korea U20 Sri Lanka U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sri Lanka U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 16 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: North Korea U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Sri Lanka U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

North Korea U20 VS Sri Lanka U20

1.43 Goals Scored 0.13

0.71 Goals Conceded 2.88

71% Over 1.5 75%

43% Over 2.5 50%

14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

North Korea U20

(Home)

19 Feb

Saudi Arabia U20

2 : 1

North Korea U20

16 Feb

North Korea U20

1 : 2

Jordan U20

13 Feb

Iraq U20

1 : 1

North Korea U20

27 Sept

Oman U20

0 : 1

North Korea U20

25 Sept

Tajikistan U20

0 : 2

North Korea U20

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Sri Lanka U20

(Away)

27 Mar

Bhutan U20

1 : 0

Sri Lanka U20

25 Mar

Sri Lanka U20

0 : 1

Nepal U20

23 Mar

Maldives U20

2 : 3

Sri Lanka U20

29 Sept

Sri Lanka U20

1 : 1

Malaysia U20

25 Sept

Oman U20

5 : 0

Sri Lanka U20

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