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North Korea U20 W vs Canada U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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World Cup Women U20 Stadion ŁKS, Lodz
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Match Events

46'
Sub
Yee E. In: Tarasco L.
Out: Yee E.
46'
Sub
Melenhorst T. In: Chukwu A.
Out: Melenhorst T.
46'
Sub
Ro Un-Hyang In: Ho Kyong
Out: Ro Un-Hyang

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
North Korea U20 W
15%
Draws
31%
Canada U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Korea U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Canada U20 W haven't matched North Korea U20 W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans North Korea U20 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • North Korea U20 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Canada U20 W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and North Korea U20 W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
North Korea U20 W Clean Sheet 20%
Canada U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Korea U20 W Canada U20 W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 25 18
Draws 2 3
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 3.87 3.85
Goals Conceded 0.37 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 World Cup Women U20
North Korea U20 W vs Canada U20 W
2:0
Aug 12, 2014 World Cup Women U20
North Korea U20 W vs Canada U20 W
0:1
Aug 27, 2012 World Cup Women U20
Canada U20 W vs North Korea U20 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Korea U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Choe Rim-Jong
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ho Kyong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Canada U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea U20 W 85 / 100
Canada U20 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Korea U20 W Canada U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Korea U20 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: North Korea U20 W scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Canada U20 W conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: North Korea U20 W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Korea U20 W VS Canada U20 W
3.25 Goals Scored 2.25
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

North Korea U20 W

(Home)
27 Sept
Spain U20 W
1 : 0
North Korea U20 W
23 Sept
North Korea U20 W
3 : 0
Colombia U20 W
20 Sept
North Korea U20 W
2 : 0
Canada U20 W
17 Sept
North Korea U20 W
2 : 0
Japan U20 W
13 Sept
Colombia U20 W
0 : 3
North Korea U20 W
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Canada U20 W

(Away)
20 Sept
North Korea U20 W
2 : 0
Canada U20 W
17 Sept
France U20 W
1 : 3
Canada U20 W
11 Sept
Tanzania U20 W
0 : 6
Canada U20 W
08 Sept
Brazil U20 W
3 : 0
Canada U20 W
05 Sept
Canada U20 W
1 : 1
England U20 W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Argentina U20 W 0
South Korea U20 W 1
Italy U20 W 2
China U20 W 1
Brazil U20 W 2
USA U20 W 1
Spain U20 W 2
Portugal U20 W 0
North Korea U20 W 2
Japan U20 W 0
France U20 W 1
Canada U20 W 3
England U20 W 0
Nigeria U20 W 3
Poland U20 W 0
Colombia U20 W 1
Quarter-finals
South Korea U20 W 1
Italy U20 W 3
Brazil U20 W 0
Spain U20 W 1
North Korea U20 W 2
Canada U20 W 0
Nigeria U20 W 0
Colombia U20 W 1
Semi-finals
Italy U20 W 0
Spain U20 W 2
North Korea U20 W 3
Colombia U20 W 0
Final
Spain U20 W 1
North Korea U20 W 0
Italy U20 W 1
Colombia U20 W 2